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2026 Housing Market: Where Prices Are Still Climbing — and Where They're Falling

Elvera Breed
Real Estate Editor • Sep 1, 2026 • 7 min • Updated 2h ago

Median $412k, mortgage 6.8%, inventory +22% — the stalemate breaks. Sellers still control Austin and Miami, but buyers win in Denver, Seattle, Phoenix.

The Math at 6.8%

$400k loan, 30yr: $2,624/mo (vs $1,910 at 3.5%). Every 0.5% drop saves $115/mo — waiting for 6.0% could save $190. But rents up 4.1%, so waiting costs too.

MetroMedianYoYDays on Market
Austin$542k+2.1%48
Denver$598k-1.4%67
Miami$621k+3.2%38

Where to Buy Now

  • Buyer leverage: Denver, Seattle, Portland — 67 DOM, 4% price cuts common, ask for seller concessions.
  • Seller still wins: Miami, Austin, Raleigh — 38 DOM, bidding wars under $500k.

Elvera Tip

Get pre-underwritten, not just pre-approved — sellers take 11% discount for certainty. Lock rate for 60 days, but float down if rates drop 0.25%.

TAGS:#RealEstate2026#HousingMarket
WA